ObamaCare will Fail

As I write this, many in Washington are predicting a successful vote this week in the House of Representatives. And while this may occur, nearly all democrats know that no legislation can get passed by either house without a "fix-it" bill that no one has seen and no one knows the costs of.

Am I making an amazing, and possibly wrong, prediction on the votes in Congress on health care reform? No. I am saying that even if legislation passes called "health care reform" ("ObamaCare"), it will in fact fail.

1. First, the "ObamaCare" legislation could not get passed in any conventional way. So far, we have a bill passed in by the Senate and one passed by the House that are significantly different. Neither House of Congress is willing to pass the other's bill. Even the President said he want's fixes to both. The only way "ObamaCare" gets through Congress is with political bribes, chicanery and trampling of rules that have existed for decades. Everyone agrees that this bill will have substantial affects on the health care sector of the economy. Everyone also agrees the financial impact of the proposed legislation is far reaching. The Simple Truth is that any bill that has such pervasive impacts on Americans and the US economy should not pass as a result of such trickery. And it could not pass without it.
2. Even if the legislation passes, it will result in years of litigation on multiple fronts. From issues of basic constitutionality (forced coverage) to inequal treatment of groups and states. We will never know the impact of this "ObamaCare reform" as it will be in flux for years if not decades in the courts. This too is failure.
3. Third, even if this legislation passes, it will not accomplish the goals that have been stated by its strongest advocates. It is equally likely to leave us with the same or more uninsured Americans. It is more likely to result in increased health insurance premiums and costs. And, it is likely to blow a huge hole in the side of the financial ship of America.

The Simple Truth is that this is the worst legislation ever. It deserves to fail. And if it passes... it will still fail.

The Simple Truth is that America WANTS health care reform. This legislation is not it.